· By the end of 2021, the Internet of Things is expected to add 16 billion connected terminals
· In the third quarter of this year, the number of smartphone users will exceed the number of ordinary mobile phone users
· In the past 15 months, the amount of cellular data used by teenagers to watch videos on their smartphones has increased by 127%
Ericsson recently released the latest version of the "Ericsson Mobile Market Report". The report shows that by 2018, the Internet of Things (IoT) will surpass mobile phones and become the largest number of interconnected terminals.
From 2015 to 2021, the Internet of Things is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 23%, with cellular Internet of Things growing the fastest. By 2021, the total number of interconnected terminals is expected to reach 28 billion, of which nearly 16 billion will be IoT terminals.
Western Europe will lead the growth of IoT connections all the way. By 2021, the number of IoT terminals in the Western European market is expected to increase by 400%. The rapid growth in Western Europe is mainly due to government regulatory requirements (such as smart meters) and the growing demand for connected cars, including the EU e-call policy that will be implemented in 2018.
Ericsson Senior Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer Rima Qureshi said: "With the continuous reduction of terminal costs and the continuous emergence of innovative applications, the development of the Internet of Things is accelerating. Starting in 2020, the commercial deployment of 5G networks will provide a key to the Internet of Things. Other important functions, such as 5G network slicing, and the ability to connect terminals that are many times larger than the current one."
The number of smartphone users is also increasing, and is expected to exceed the number of ordinary mobile phone users in the third quarter of this year. In 2021, the number of smartphone users will increase from the current 3.4 billion to 6.3 billion, almost doubling. In addition, the report also shows that there are currently 5 billion mobile phone users worldwide (excluding repeat users), which shows that mobile technology has achieved significant improvements in a relatively short period of time.
The report elaborated on the dramatic changes in teenagers’ viewing habits: In just 15 months (2014-2015), the amount of cellular data used by teenagers to watch videos on smartphones increased by 127%. In 4 years (2011-2015), the proportion of teenagers watching TV/video on TV screens has decreased by 50%, while the proportion of teenagers watching TV/video on smartphones has increased by 85%. In addition, the new generation of mobile users are the largest consumers of smartphone video streaming (Wi-Fi and cellular combination). These two factors make teenagers the most important consumer group that mobile operators need to pay attention to.
In 2016, the commercial LTE network achieved a peak downlink data transmission rate of 1 Gbps, achieving a long-awaited technical milestone. It is expected that in the second half of 2016, markets such as Japan, the United States, South Korea and China will take the lead in launching terminals that support 1 Gbps data transmission rate, and other regions will follow. With the help of enhanced technology, mobile users will enjoy extremely fast content acquisition speed, and the download speed will be 1.67 times the current fastest technology.
Highlights of the "Ericsson Mobile Market Report" also include:
· Global growth: Between 2015 and 2021, the number of mobile broadband users in the Middle East and Africa will increase by 4 times; by 2021, India’s mobile data traffic will increase by 15 times; although the United States is the most mature market, only In 2016, its mobile traffic will increase by 50%.
· The growth trend of data traffic remains unabated: From the first quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016, global mobile data traffic increased by 60%, on the one hand due to the increase in the number of smartphone users, on the other hand due to each user The amount of data consumed increases. It is estimated that by the end of 2021, about 90% of mobile data traffic will come from smartphones.
· The number of LTE users grew rapidly in the first quarter of 2016: Driven by the need to improve user experience and increase network speed, LTE added 150 million new users in the first quarter of 2016, and the total number of global users reached 1.2 billion. The 1 Gbps LTE peak data transmission rate is expected to be put into commercial use in 2016.
· The countries planning to take the lead in deploying 5G technology also need spectrum coordination: 5G deployment is expected to start sooner than expected, and the countries planning to take the lead in deploying 5G technology need to have spectrum coordination, which is outside the current process of WRC-19. The issues to be considered, focus on the spectrum used for 5G commercial deployment after 2020.
"Ericsson Mobile Market Report" is currently the industry's leading mobile data traffic analysis report, providing in-depth evaluation of global live networks. The report provides deep insights into the current traffic situation and the market development trend of the network society through evaluation and analysis, internal forecasts and other related research.
The Ericsson traffic exploration tool used in this report can be used to create custom charts and tables. Information can be filtered by region, user, technology, traffic, and terminal type.
The report defines an interconnected terminal as a physical object that has an IP stack and supports two-way communication through a network interface.